着急~请英语高手帮忙翻译一段关于贸易的分析文章
The first quarter of 2009 China's import and export amounted to 4,287 billion U.S. dollars, up 24.9 percent decline in imports than exports drop, the whole, the trend of foreign trade in 2009 a larger uncertainty.
First, the global economy, especially when developed economies are still bottom out a lot of uncertainty. Developed economies despite the recent emergence of some of the economic rebound of the signal, but the foundation is not solid, especially the U.S. economy may have to rise in the third quarter. International market demand is affecting China's exports of the most important factor, if the later resumption of external demand, China's exports will face greater external pressure.
The second is whether the crisis will impact the global economy caused by structural, as well as what kind of structural adjustment are also uncertain. For example, the recent rise in savings rate in the United States or international direct investment is also possible the emergence of new structural changes, these structural changes not only affect the foreign trade of China's short-term, but a greater impact on long-term foreign trade, foreign trade of China's long-established pattern of growth may the impact of external shocks due to a profound adjustment.
Third, the existence of the international market price decline in uncertainty. Although in 2009 the international market prices of primary products will be dropped the same period last year, but how much and whether there is a decline in volatility is not yet clear. On the one hand, the international market price of the actual amount of China's imports will have a huge impact on China's part, on the other hand the prices of export products have a certain influence.
2.2009, three major challenges facing China's foreign trade
A rare global financial crisis to move ahead not only of China's export slowdown, China's imports also fell. The more worrisome is that China's foreign trade and perhaps a recession in the world economy as a whole ecological environment of the poor receive a severe test.
China's foreign trade in 2009 is very grim in China:
- The world economy, especially developed severe slowdown in the economy led to a further weakening of external demand. Slowdown in economic growth will inevitably drag on China's trade growth. The United States and Europe in particular on the three major economies on the direct and indirect exports of China's exports accounted for nearly 60% of the total, the three of the country's economic slowdown on China's enormous impact on commodity exports.
- More intense competition in the international market, the re-emergence of trade protectionism and increasing threat. It certainly will increase the contraction of international trade competitiveness in the international market; Europe and the United States and other countries has made it clear that government departments will take effective measures to maintain market贸易稳定in the region, the global scope of the threat of trade protectionism which is bound to increase. Developed a variety of settings on Technical Barriers to Trade, China is becoming a major obstacle to export expansion.
- China's trade policies, "corrective" cost. Foreign trade as a result of the implementation of China's long-term-oriented strategy, to encourage enterprises to actively expand exports, the basic formation of the corresponding production capacity, and reduced demand in the international market, its supply capacity to be adaptive rapid contraction of it is very difficult, leading to the international bargaining power of enterprises limited . Financial crisis led to drastic changes in trade demand, businesses face the pressure of unexpected. Therefore, from a supply point of view of economics, China's foreign trade exports in the short term it is difficult rapid recovery.
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