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恳请有能力的人帮我翻译下面一段文字,全为步骤,难度系数不大,但要求无语法问题,用词准确即可,谢谢!

2024-05-04来源:编辑
设计模型:
The design model:

确定季节性变动:
To determine the seasonal variations:

第零步和第一步:
因为所给的资料是按月份进行划分的,所以我们采用12次来计算移动平均数,然后在计算调整后的移动平均数。将销售量与移动平均数进行比较(在XY散点图上)。
Step 0 and step 1:
Because of the given information is being divided by each month, therefore we have to do the calculation of the average movement values 12 times then work out the average movement value after the adjustment to compare the sales with the movement value.

第二步:
用调整后的移动平均数来计算季节性指数。公式为(round(sales/ma 12,2)
Step 2:
Use the adjusted movement value to calculate the seasonal index. The formula is(round(sales/ma 12,2).

第三步:
根据季节性指数来计算预期的中位数。
Step 3:
Work out the medium of the forecast period according to the seasonal index.

第四步:
利用预期中位数乘以实际中位数之和除以预期中位数之和,来计算预期中位数。
确定趋势变化:
Step 4:
Use the medium of the forecast period to time the actual medium and divide by the sum of the forecast period's mediums to work out the medium of the forecast period.

第五步:
利用经典时间序列中的乘法公式计算趋势值(在排除循环变动和随机变动的情况下).
Step 5:
Use the multiplication formula of the classic time series to calculate the trend value (under the circumstances without the cyclical fluctuation and random changes)

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